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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Aussie Insightly Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Caroline Springs is in for a generally mild and settled run, with cloud building ahead of a possible late shower on Thursday. The live forecast above shows the immediate outlook for the suburb, which sits on Melbourne’s western plains, where summer afternoons are often a couple of degrees warmer than the city centre.
What’s driving this week’s weather in Caroline Springs?
A high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is holding most rain at bay, keeping Caroline Springs dry through mid-week. A trough approaching from the Bight will bring an increase in cloud cover and a slight chance of a brief shower toward the tail end of the week, though totals should stay light.
How does Caroline Springs’ location affect its local climate?
Caroline Springs sits about 20 kilometres west of Melbourne’s CBD, on the flat volcanic plains that stretch towards Geelong. This spot is often a few degrees warmer in summer and cooler on winter mornings than suburbs closer to Port Phillip Bay, because it misses the direct sea-breeze moderation. In summer, the Norlane and Kororoit Creek corridors can funnel hot northerlies, pushing temperatures into the high 30s on extreme days.
Does Caroline Springs get more rain than the Melbourne CBD?
Caroline Springs averages about 570 mm a year, slightly lower than Melbourne’s 650 mm, because it lies in the rain shadow of the Otway Ranges and the You Yangs to the south-west.
Why does Caroline Springs often feel hotter than the city in summer?
The suburb’s location west of the city means it’s further from the cooling influence of Port Phillip Bay’s sea breeze. On hot northerly wind days, the western plains heat up faster and stay warmer into the evening.
Is there a severe weather risk for Caroline Springs in summer?
Yes – the western suburbs can experience extreme heatwaves and occasional thunderstorm squalls. Check current warnings on our severe weather page for updates.
More local forecasts: Melbourne Weather | Australia Weather Hub