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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Aussie Insightly Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Melbourne’s weather this week, as shown in the live forecast above, brings a mix of sun, cloud and a possible late shower — typical for late autumn in the city. The cool change follows a mild start, with the bay and nearby Dandenong Ranges influencing conditions.
What’s driving Melbourne’s forecast this week?
A trough moving across northern Victoria is nudging a cooler southerly change into Port Phillip. The live forecast above shows temperatures staying below average for this time of year, with the chance of a light shower mainly in the eastern suburbs, including around the Yarra and the Dandenongs. Winds will pick up from the south-west by mid-week.
Should you expect rain in the CBD or the bay suburbs?
The chance of rain is highest late Wednesday and again on Friday, but totals remain low — likely a couple of millimetres at most. Areas near the bay, such as St Kilda and Brighton, may see a little more coastal drizzle, while the city centre should stay mostly dry during daylight hours.
Will Melbourne get a severe weather warning this week?
No severe warnings are current for Melbourne as at the latest Bureau update. The change is a standard autumn cool front, not associated with dangerous wind or heavy rain in the metro area.
How does this forecast compare to last week?
Last week brought warmer, mostly sunny days and a top near 25°C. This week’s cooler pattern is a dip of 3–5 degrees, typical when a southerly change moves through Port Phillip after a warm spell.
Where can I see the hourly wind or rain details?
Live radar and hourly breakdowns are available on the Bureau of Meteorology website and via the detailed forecast section of the live forecast above. For nearby suburb-specific readings, check the BOM city page.
Sources
For a broader view of conditions across the state, see our Australia weather hub. For more detailed Melbourne updates, head to our Melbourne Weather page. If you’re planning travel interstate, check Sydney Weather or Brisbane Weather.